Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

OpenOutcomes6as of

Market pricing makes 2.0-2.4% the favorite at 60% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

2.0-2.4%60%
≤1.9%40%
3.0-3.4%1%
2.5-2.9%1%
4.0%+0%
3.5-3.9%0%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

2.0-2.4%Reuters95%match54¢+11%
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.2% in July After 2.0% Rise in June
2.5-2.9%Reuters95%match99¢
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.2% in July After 2.0% Rise in June
2.0-2.4%Reuters94%match54¢+11%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.3% in July After 2.6% Rise in June
≤1.9%Reuters93%match47¢-15%
Corrected-Japan July CPI Excluding Fresh Food, Energy Prices +1.9% (Not +1.8%) Yr/Yr - Govt
3.5-3.9%News94%match100¢
*JAPAN JULY CORE CPI RISES 1.8% Y/Y; EST. +1.8%
≤1.9%dbws.io91%match47¢-15%
Japan July core CPI rises 1.8% yr/yr
≤1.9%Reuters94%match47¢-15%
Japan July CPI Excluding Fresh Food, Energy Prices +1.8% Yr/Yr - Govt
2.5-2.9%News91%match3¢-67%
Bank of Japan Outlook Report: Price forecast for FY2014 is 2.5% = Previously 2.8%
2.0-2.4%Reuters94%match54¢+11%
BoJ: Underlying Inflation Likely to Reach Level Consistent with Price Target Between 2nd Half of Fiscal 2026 and Fiscal 2027
2.0-2.4%Reuters97%match46¢-13%
BoJ: Board’s Core-Core CPI Fiscal 2026 Median Forecast at +2.5% vs +2.6% in April
3.0-3.4%Reuters97%match98¢+1%
BoJ: Board’s Core-Core CPI Fiscal 2026 Median Forecast at +2.5% vs +2.6% in April
2.5-2.9%Reuters97%match3¢-67%
BoJ: Board’s Core-Core CPI Fiscal 2026 Median Forecast at +2.5% vs +2.6% in April
2.5-2.9%Reuters97%match3¢-67%
BoJ: Board’s Core CPI Fiscal 2026 Median Forecast at +2.5% vs +2.8% in April
2.0-2.4%livesquawk95%match64¢-6%
Japan Tokyo CPI (Y/Y) Jul: 2.0% (est 1.8%; prev 1.7%) • • - Tokyo CPI Ex-Fresh Food (Y/Y): 1.9% (est 1.8%; prev 1.6%) • - Tokyo CPI Ex-Fresh Food, Energy (Y/Y): 2.0% (est 2.0%; prev 1.9%)
2.5-2.9%livesquawk95%match93¢+6%
Japan Tokyo CPI (Y/Y) Jul: 2.0% (est 1.8%; prev 1.7%) • • - Tokyo CPI Ex-Fresh Food (Y/Y): 1.9% (est 1.8%; prev 1.6%) • - Tokyo CPI Ex-Fresh Food, Energy (Y/Y): 2.0% (est 2.0%; prev 1.9%)
2.0-2.4%Reuters94%match64¢-6%
Tokyo Area July CPI Excluding Fresh Food, Energy Prices +2.0% Yr/Yr - Govt
2.0-2.4%Reuters95%match64¢-6%
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.0% in June After 2.1% Rise in May
3.0-3.4%Reuters94%match98¢+1%
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.0% in June After 2.1% Rise in May
2.5-2.9%Reuters95%match94¢+5%
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.0% in June After 2.1% Rise in May
3.5-3.9%Reuters94%match98¢+2%
BoJ: Core-Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.0% in June After 2.1% Rise in May
2.0-2.4%Reuters94%match36¢+11%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.7% in June After 2.7% Rise in May
3.0-3.4%Reuters93%match98¢+1%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.7% in June After 2.7% Rise in May
2.5-2.9%Reuters94%match6¢-83%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.7% in June After 2.7% Rise in May
3.5-3.9%Reuters93%match98¢+2%
BoJ: Core CPI Excluding Special Factors Up 2.7% in June After 2.7% Rise in May
2.0-2.4%livesquawk94%match36¢+11%
Japan Natl CPI (Y/Y) Jun: 1.7% (est 1.7%; prev 1.5%) • - Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food (Y/Y): 1.6% (est 1.6%; prev 1.4%) • - Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food, Energy (Y/Y): 1.7% (est 1.8%; prev 1.8%)
≤1.9%livesquawk94%match14¢+186%
Japan Natl CPI (Y/Y) Jun: 1.7% (est 1.7%; prev 1.5%) • - Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food (Y/Y): 1.6% (est 1.6%; prev 1.4%) • - Natl CPI Ex Fresh Food, Energy (Y/Y): 1.7% (est 1.8%; prev 1.8%)
2.0-2.4%Reuters96%match64¢-6%
Japan Core-Core CPI Rises at Slowest Pace Since August 2022
2.5-2.9%Reuters95%match9¢-89%
Japan Core-Core CPI Rises at Slowest Pace Since August 2022
2.0-2.4%dbnews94%match64¢-6%
*JAPAN JUNE CORE CONSUMER PRICES RISE 1.6% Y/Y; EST. +1.6%
2.0-2.4%Reuters95%match36¢+11%
Japan June CPI Excluding Fresh Food, Energy Prices +1.7% Yr/Yr - Govt

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Related events