MA-04 Democratic Primary WinnerJake Auchincloss
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$14Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Jake Auchincloss wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District
Decision Desk HQ projects Jake Auchincloss wins the MA US House 4 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:40 PM EDT
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for MA-04 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.