Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Open$90Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESBBC News (World)99%match22¢-68%
Israel approves 19 new settlements in occupied West Bank
YESAl Jazeera English98%match21¢-67%
Palestinian officials warn Israel’s new settlement plan accelerates annexation, deepens violence across occupied area.
NOFirst Squawk98%match81¢+15%
Netanyahu: The status quo in the West Bank will remain as it is in the foreseeable future.
Where does the news lean?
7YES4NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.