Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Ian Murray
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NEW: Dan Jarvis back as Security Minister. James Murray and Lucy Rigby also get (non cabinet) jobs. • • The King has been pleased to approve the following appointments: • • •Rt Hon Dan Jarvis MBE MP as Minister of State (Security Minister) jointly in the Home Office and the Cabinet Office • •Kirsty McNeill MP as Minister of State in the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office • •Rt Hon James Murray MP as Financial Secretary to the Treasury and Paymaster General • •Rt Hon Lucy Rigby KC MP as Minister of State in HM Treasury (Economic Secretary to the Treasury) • •Rt Hon Anna Turley MP as Minister of State in the Home Office • •Catherine McKinnell MP as Minister of State in the Ministry of Justice • •Katie White OBE MP as Minister of State in the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero • •Andrew Western MP as Minister of State in the Department for Work and Pensions • •Rt Hon Dame Diana Johnson DBE MP as Minister of State in the Department of Health and Social Care • •Florence Eshalomi MP as Minister of State in the Ministry for Housing, Communities and Local Government • •Kate Dearden MP as Minister of State in the Department for Business, Innovation, Science and Trade • •Chris McDonald MP as Minister of State in the Department for Business, Innovation, Science and Trade • •Rt Hon Ian Murray MP as Minister of State in the Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport • •Emma Hardy MP as Minister of State in the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs • •Emma Foody MP as Vice Chamberlain of HM Household (Government Whip) • •Andy Slaughter MP as Solicitor General • The following Ministers have been re-appointed: • • •Stephen Doughty MP will remain as Minister of State in the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office • •Sarah Jones MP will remain as Minister of State in the Home Office • •Rt Hon Lord Hanson of Flint will remain as Minister of State in the Home Office • •Sarah Sackman KC MP will remain as Minister of State in the Ministry of Justice • •Luke Pollard MP will remain as Minister of State in the Ministry of Defence • •Lord Coaker will remain as Minister of State in the Ministry of Defence • •Michael Shanks MP will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero • •Georgia Gould OBE MP will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Education • •Rt Hon Sir Stephen Timms MP will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Work and Pensions • •Rt Hon Baroness Smith of Malvern will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Work and Pensions and the Department for Education • •Baroness Sherlock OBE will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Work and Pensions • •Karin Smyth MP will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Health and Social Care • •Lord Hendy of Richmond Hill CBE will remain as Minister of State in the Department for Transport • •Rt Hon Lord Kennedy of Southwark will remain as Captain of the Honourable Corps of Gentleman at Arms (Lords Chief Whip) • •Rt Hon Sir Mark Tami MP will remain as Treasurer of His Majesty’s Household (Deputy Chief Whip) • •Gen Kitchen MP will remain as Comptroller of HM Household (Government Whip) • •Baroness Smith of Cluny KC will remain as HM Advocate General for Scotland • • The following Ministers have left the Government: • • •Rachel Blake MP • •Sir Nicholas Dakin MP • •Rt Hon Baroness Chapman of Darlington • •Lord Livermore • •Lord Stockwood • •Lord Whitehead CBE • •Lord Vallance • •Lord Timpson OBE
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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