Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County WinnerHaley Stevens
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$48Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Haley Stevens introduces old rival Abdul El-Sayed at 'unity breakfast' for Michigan Democrats
Live: Rep. Haley Stevens says she's offered Abdul El-Sayed her full support in Senate race
Live: Rep. Haley Stevens concedes to Dr. Abdul El-Sayed
Live: Haley Stevens concedes in acrimonious primary battle, offer 'full support' to El-Sayed in November
Live: Rep. Haley Stevens congratulates Abdul El-Sayed on Democratic Senate primary win
Live: Representative Haley Stevens called Dr. Abdul El-Sayed to concede this morning, said Arik Wolk, a spokesman for the Stevens campaign.
Haley Stevens concedes in a statement, backing Abdul El-Sayed and calling for Democratic unity. • • "We need to win this Senate seat, because Elissa Slotkin deserves a partner like Abdul in the U.S. Senate." #MISEN
Campaign says Rep. Haley Stevens called Abdul El-Sayed to concede moments ago, @EugeneDaniels2 reports
Live: About 70 percent of the Oakland County vote is in, and Representative Haley Stevens is winning her home county by just two percentage points. With two-thirds of the votes counted in Washtenaw County, Dr. Abdul El-Sayed carries the county, which includes the college town of Ann Arbor.
Live: Haley Stevens is trailing statewide an hour after polls closed in most of the state and she holds just a two-percentage-point lead in Oakland County, where both she and Abdul El-Sayed grew up and which she represents in Congress. Sixty percent of the expected vote in the county has been reported, but the outstanding ballots are largely Election Day votes — a bloc that has favored El-Sayed across the state.
Gretchen Whitmer endorses moderate Haley Stevens in tight upcoming Senate primary
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer endorses Haley Stevens ahead of key Democratic Senate primary
Gretchen Whitmer Endorses Haley Stevens in Michigan Senate Race
Whitmer wades into #MISen with a late Haley Stevens endorsement:
Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer backs Haley Stevens in contested Democratic Senate primary
Gov Whitmer endorses Haley Stevens in the Michigan Senate race
Breaking: Whitmer makes a late endorsement in the Senate race for Haley Stevens (and against Abdul El-Sayed who ran against her in the 2018 primary).
Where does the news lean?
15YES8NO17neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Oakland County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Oakland County Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.