GPT-5.6 released on...?July 18

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$2KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOaxios98%match100¢
NEW: OpenAI releases GPT-5.6 and ChatGPT Work tool • •
NOaxios.com99%match100¢
OpenAI releases GPT-5.6 and ChatGPT Work tool
NOtheinformation.com99%match100¢
OpenAI To Publicly Launch GPT-5.6 Family of Models on Thursday

Where does the news lean?

1YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Sourcegamma-backfill

Related markets

See all outcomes for GPT-5.6 released on...? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Trending now