GPT-5.6 released on...?

OpenOutcomes39as of

This hub tracks 39 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

All further outcomes (9 more):

June 30 · July 1 · July 7 · July 8 · July 9 · July 14 · July 19 · July 24 · July 28

What moved the odds?

25 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

July 18axios98%match100¢
NEW: OpenAI releases GPT-5.6 and ChatGPT Work tool • •
July 18axios.com99%match100¢
OpenAI releases GPT-5.6 and ChatGPT Work tool
July 20skynewsarabia98%match0¢
GPT 5.6 is now available to the public... What new features will it offer? #SkyOnline #ArtificialIntelligence
July 29nikkei99%match100¢
OpenAI to release its latest "GPT-5.6" to the public on the 9th, approved by the US government
July 18yna.co.kr99%match0¢
OpenAI 'GPT-5.6' Full Release Approved... To be Released This Week
OpenAI To Publicly Launch GPT-5.6 Family of Models on Thursday
OpenAI To Publicly Launch GPT-5.6 Family of Models on Thursday
OpenAI To Publicly Launch GPT-5.6 Family of Models on Thursday
June 29Coin X99%match100¢
June 30th
June 28Coin X99%match99¢+1%
June 30th
June 26theinformation.com99%match99¢+1%
OpenAI Releases GPT-5.6 to U.S. Government-Approved Customers
June 28theinformation.com99%match99¢+1%
OpenAI Releases GPT-5.6 to U.S. Government-Approved Customers
June 26openai99%match1¢-100%
GPT‑5.6 Sol launches with our most robust safety stack yet. • • We strengthened real-time protections against high-risk cyber activity and repeated misuse, then spent weeks hardening the system with human red teaming and over 700,000 A100-equivalent GPU hours of automated testing.
July 5openai99%match100¢
GPT‑5.6 Sol launches with our most robust safety stack yet. • • We strengthened real-time protections against high-risk cyber activity and repeated misuse, then spent weeks hardening the system with human red teaming and over 700,000 A100-equivalent GPU hours of automated testing.
July 18openai99%match99¢+1%
GPT‑5.6 Sol launches with our most robust safety stack yet. • • We strengthened real-time protections against high-risk cyber activity and repeated misuse, then spent weeks hardening the system with human red teaming and over 700,000 A100-equivalent GPU hours of automated testing.
June 28openai99%match99¢+1%
GPT‑5.6 Sol launches with our most robust safety stack yet. • • We strengthened real-time protections against high-risk cyber activity and repeated misuse, then spent weeks hardening the system with human red teaming and over 700,000 A100-equivalent GPU hours of automated testing.
July 26openai99%match99¢+1%
GPT‑5.6 Sol launches with our most robust safety stack yet. • • We strengthened real-time protections against high-risk cyber activity and repeated misuse, then spent weeks hardening the system with human red teaming and over 700,000 A100-equivalent GPU hours of automated testing.
June 26openai99%match1¢-100%
GPT‑5.6 Sol sets a new state of the art on Terminal‑Bench 2.1, which tests complex command-line workflows requiring planning, iteration, and tool coordination.
June 28openai99%match99¢+1%
GPT‑5.6 Sol sets a new state of the art on Terminal‑Bench 2.1, which tests complex command-line workflows requiring planning, iteration, and tool coordination.
June 28openai99%match1¢-100%
Sol is our new flagship and a step function better than GPT-5.5. • • Terra delivers performance competitive to GPT-5.5 at 2x lower cost. • • Luna is our most cost-efficient model, delivering strong capability at our lowest cost. • • Together, the GPT-5.6 family gives people and developers more choice in how they balance intelligence, speed, and cost.
June 28openai99%match99¢+1%
We believe in broad access and plan to make GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, and Luna generally available in the coming weeks. • • For now, at the request of the U.S. government, we’re starting with a limited preview among a small group of trusted partners in Codex and the API.
July 29openai99%match100¢
We believe in broad access and plan to make GPT-5.6 Sol, Terra, and Luna generally available in the coming weeks. • • For now, at the request of the U.S. government, we’re starting with a limited preview among a small group of trusted partners in Codex and the API.
June 26openai99%match99¢+1%
Introducing a limited preview of GPT-5.6 Sol, our next generation frontier model, as well as GPT-5.6 Terra, a balanced model for efficient, everyday work, and GPT-5.6 Luna, a fast and affordable model for high-volume work. • •
June 29openai99%match100¢
Introducing a limited preview of GPT-5.6 Sol, our next generation frontier model, as well as GPT-5.6 Terra, a balanced model for efficient, everyday work, and GPT-5.6 Luna, a fast and affordable model for high-volume work. • •
June 28openai99%match99¢+1%
Introducing a limited preview of GPT-5.6 Sol, our next generation frontier model, as well as GPT-5.6 Terra, a balanced model for efficient, everyday work, and GPT-5.6 Luna, a fast and affordable model for high-volume work. • •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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