France United Left Primary WinnerFrançois Ruffin
Open$34Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
2027 Presidential Election: After the Primary, Raphaël Glucksmann faces the arduous challenge of uniting
Left-wing primary: after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory, are Olivier Faure and François Hollande out of the running?
"I would not neglect François Hollande": after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the primary, is the former president's candidacy compromised?
"The choice of retreat": From François Ruffin to Marine Tondelier, the united left gives a cold reception to Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
"The choice of retreat": from François Ruffin to Marine Tondelier, the united left gives a cold reception to Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
Presidential election 2027. Raphaël Glucksmann wins the left-wing primary: "The choice is clear"
Left-wing primary for the 2027 presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann nominated as candidate in the first round with 66.13% of the vote
Live: François Ruffin confirms he wants to participate in the Socialist primary
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Where does the news lean?
2YES22NO17neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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