France United Left Primary Winner
Open25as of
Market pricing makes Canceled the favorite at 93% across 25 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Canceled93%
What moved the odds?
22 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Live: #POLITICS Left-wing MP François Ruffin, a presidential candidate, criticized the election co-organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann's movement...
Live: At the Socialist Party's summer conference, François Ruffin denounces a social-democratic primary that is "almost anti-popular"
Presidential Election 2027: The Aftermath seizes the outstretched hand of environmentalist Marine Tondelier for a left-wing union
Live: #POLITICS The Alliance for an Ecological and Social Republic (The After) accepts the meeting proposal repeatedly made by Marine Tondelier, who is seeking to build a consensus on the left in preparation for the presidency...
LIVE
Presidential election: Yannick Jadot believes Raphaël Glucksmann has a better chance of winning than Marine Tondelier
Live: Presidential election: Yannick Jadot believes Raphaël Glucksmann has a better chance of winning than Marine Tondelier
2027 Presidential Election: LFI attempts to rally the Greens behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon's candidacy by offering them a proposal
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier believes that "no one will be right alone" on the left, but for the time being reaffirms her independent candidacy.
Manuel Bompard says he "takes note" that the left-wing primary "has definitively failed" following proposals for bilateral meetings put forward by Marine Tondelier
Discussions on the left "without exclusion": Marine Tondelier opens the door to a rapprochement with LFI
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier maintains her candidacy and extends an olive branch to "everyone on the left"
"Clearing a path to victory": Marine Tondelier, the Green Party's presidential candidate, proposes "bilateral meetings" with other left-wing parties.
"Clearing a path to victory": Marine Tondelier, the Green Party's presidential candidate, proposes "bilateral meetings" with other left-wing parties
Presidential election 2027: Marine Tondelier proposes "bilateral meetings" with all left-wing parties
2027 Presidential Election: Marine Tondelier extends an olive branch to the entire left, from LFI to Place Publique
Presidential election: why Marine Tondelier continues to campaign
2027 Presidential Election: Green Party MP Clémentine Autain says she acknowledges the failure of the left-wing unity primary and is withdrawing her candidacy.
Presidential election 2027: Green Party MP Clémentine Autain says she acknowledges the failure of the left-wing unity primary and is withdrawing from the race
Presidential election: Clémentine Autain withdraws from the race after the failure of the unity primary
What is this event about?
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.