France United Left Primary Winner
Open25as of
Market pricing makes Canceled the favorite at 93% across 25 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Canceled93%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
RTL POLL - Left-wing primary for the 2027 presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann is the favorite, but far from having dispelled all doubts
LIVE
Independent candidacy, alliance with the Socialist Party, or with La France Insoumise? Sandrine Rousseau questions Marine Tondelier's presidential ambitions and calls for a "vote from Green Party activists"
Live: Marine Tondelier affirms that "the Greens will be part of the solution" and "will participate" in the path to victory for the left
Who are the candidates for the left-wing primary? Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Philippe Brun claim to have the necessary endorsements.
Who are the candidates for the left-wing primary? Olivier Faure, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Philippe Brun claim to have the necessary endorsements.
Live: François Ruffin reacts after Raphaël Glucksmann's opposition to his participation in the Socialist primary
Live: François Ruffin confirms he wants to participate in the Socialist primary
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier assures that she will "give priority to her baby" but that she "does not intend" to put her campaign on hold for four months.
Left-wing primary: on RTL, François Ruffin says he is "still ready to go" and regrets that Raphaël Glucksmann "is afraid of the voters"
Live: #POLITICS François Ruffin expresses his outrage on RTL at Raphaël Glucksmann's refusal to allow him to participate in the left-wing primary...
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Anne Hidalgo announces she will vote for Raphaël Glucksmann in the left-wing primary
LIVE
2027 Presidential Election: Anne Hidalgo announces she will vote for Raphaël Glucksmann in the left-wing primary
François Ruffin's participation in the primary: "I'm not sure everyone wants it," admits Arthur Delaporte, Socialist MP for Calvados
Presidential election 2027: Raphaël Glucksmann rejects the idea of a primary open to François Ruffin, arguing that "you don't change the rules mid-game"
Presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann rejects a primary open to François Ruffin and calls on Olivier Faure to respect "the votes of his own party members"
Presidential election: Raphaël Glucksmann rejects an expanded primary including François Ruffin and calls on Olivier Faure to respect "the votes of his own supporters"
French Communist Party National Secretary Roussel announced his candidacy for the 2027 presidential election.
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Live: #POLITICS Left-wing MP François Ruffin, a presidential candidate, criticized the election co-organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann's movement...
Live: At the Socialist Party's summer conference, François Ruffin denounces a social-democratic primary that is "almost anti-popular"
Presidential Election 2027: The Aftermath seizes the outstretched hand of environmentalist Marine Tondelier for a left-wing union
Live: #POLITICS The Alliance for an Ecological and Social Republic (The After) accepts the meeting proposal repeatedly made by Marine Tondelier, who is seeking to build a consensus on the left in preparation for the presidency...
LIVE
Presidential election: Yannick Jadot believes Raphaël Glucksmann has a better chance of winning than Marine Tondelier
Live: Presidential election: Yannick Jadot believes Raphaël Glucksmann has a better chance of winning than Marine Tondelier
2027 Presidential Election: LFI attempts to rally the Greens behind Jean-Luc Mélenchon's candidacy by offering them a proposal
Presidential election: Marine Tondelier believes that "no one will be right alone" on the left, but for the time being reaffirms her independent candidacy.
Manuel Bompard says he "takes note" that the left-wing primary "has definitively failed" following proposals for bilateral meetings put forward by Marine Tondelier
Discussions on the left "without exclusion": Marine Tondelier opens the door to a rapprochement with LFI
What is this event about?
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.