Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in ParaíbaFlavio Bolsonaro

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$745Resolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESleparisien.fr97%match1¢-100%
“More moderate” than his father? Who is Flavio Bolsonaro, the surprise of the first round of the presidential election in Brazil?
YESdbws.io95%match1¢-100%
Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula in Brazil election first-round, early count shows

Where does the news lean?

7YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

How did this market resolve?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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