Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in ParáFlavio Bolsonaro
ResolvedOutcome: No$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro pulled off a surprise first-place finish ahead of President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Sunday's election, which heads to a run-off in three weeks as neither clinched a majority. •
"Lula paid the price for voter discontent": In Brazil, Flavio Bolsonaro is leading in the first round of the presidential election
Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula da Silva have advanced to the second round of Brazil's presidential elections.
Presidential election in Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro pulls off a surprise victory, overtaking Lula in the first round
Brazil: Conservative Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Jair Bolsonaro, surprises by overtaking Lula in the first round of the presidential election
Where does the news lean?
13YES3NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.