Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? Odds fell to 8% on Oct 4, 2026

OpenMove

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? On , the market’s odds fell from 16.5¢ to 7.6¢ (-8.9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News.

How did the odds move?

At match16.5¢
+5m16.5¢
+30m9.6¢
+1h7.6¢
1h move-8.9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesNews97%match
URGENT Candidate Flavio Bolsonaro Leads in Brazil's Presidential Election - First Data

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Pará — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.