Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 20260-1.0%
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 75% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES75¢
NO25¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Eurozone GDP grew 0.4% in April-June, exceeding market expectations.
Economic / Eurozone economy grows by 0.4% in the second quarter of 2026
YESReuters95%match71¢+6%
ECB’s Spf: 2026 GDP Growth Seen at 0.6% vs 1.0% Previously, 2027 at 1.2% vs 1.3%
IMF: Eurozone economic growth is expected to slow from 1.4% in 2025 to 0.9% in 2026 before accelerating to 1.2% in 2027
NOFirst Squawk98%match77¢-68%
ECB SURVEY: GDP GROWTH SEEN AT 1.1% NEXT YEAR, 1.4% IN 2027; BOTH UNCHANGED
Where does the news lean?
4YES2NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.