Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? Odds fell to 38% on Sep 10, 2026

OpenMove

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? On , the market’s odds fell from 48.8¢ to 37.7¢ (-11.1 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match48.8¢
+5m39.6¢
+30m38¢
+1h37.7¢
1h move-11.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 48.8¢ → 37.7¢-11.1 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 48.8¢ → 37.7¢-11.1 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 48.8¢ → 37.7¢-11.1 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesReuters94%match
ECB Says Baseline Projection for Economic Growth is 0.9% for 2026, 1.4% for 2027 and 1.5% for 2028
YesReuters94%match
ECB’s New Growth Forecasts: 0.9% for 2026, 1.4% for 2027 and 1.5% for 2028.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 41% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES41¢
NO59¢

Vol$13K

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Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.