Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Elif Eralp

OpenVol$154KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 85% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES85¢
NO15¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESFrench Media97%match81¢+5%
Who is Elif Eralp, the radical left-wing figure who won the Berlin mayoral election?
YESbfmtv.com97%match85¢
Who is Elif Eralp, the figure of the radical left who came out on top in the Berlin mayoral elections?
YEStimesofisrael.com97%match81¢+5%
Far-left Elif Eralp set to become Berlin mayor, as her Die Linke party comes top in elections

Where does the news lean?

5YES0NO5neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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