Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Open32as of
Market pricing makes Elif Eralp the favorite at 82% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Elif Eralp82%
Candidate S50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate L50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate Z50%
Candidate T50%
Candidate W50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate R50%
Candidate V50%
Candidate X50%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate U50%
Stefan Evers16%
All further outcomes (2 more):
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.