Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Open32as of
Market pricing makes Elif Eralp the favorite at 82% across 32 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Elif Eralp82%
Candidate A50%
Candidate B50%
Candidate C50%
Candidate D50%
Candidate E50%
Candidate F50%
Candidate G50%
Candidate H50%
Candidate I50%
Candidate J50%
Candidate K50%
Candidate L50%
Candidate M50%
Candidate N50%
Candidate O50%
Candidate P50%
Candidate Q50%
Candidate R50%
Candidate S50%
Candidate T50%
Candidate U50%
Candidate V50%
Candidate W50%
Candidate X50%
Candidate Y50%
Stefan Evers17%
All further outcomes (2 more):
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Poll: 41 percent of Berliners support a coalition under Elif Eralp
Who is Elif Eralp, the radical left-wing figure who won the Berlin mayoral election?
Who is Elif Eralp, the figure of the radical left who came out on top in the Berlin mayoral elections?
Far-left Elif Eralp set to become Berlin mayor, as her Die Linke party comes top in elections
Berlin election winner: Who is Elif Eralp?
Berlin election: Stefan Evers was only a substitute for the CDU. Can he still win?
Steffen Krach: Raid on SPD lead candidate on suspicion of bribery
SPD in Berlin: Steffen Krach has hardly any chance – and lashes out at his own comrades.
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.