When will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC?December 31, 2026
Open$10Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO89¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
EL SALVADOR BOUGHT MORE BITCOIN TODAY • • New SBR Balance: 7,732.37 BTC
EL SALVADOR JUST BOUGHT MORE BITCOIN • • New SBR Total: 7,712.37 BTC • Total BTC Added (7d): +8 BTC • Total BTC Added (30d): +31 BTC
El Salvador just bought more bitcoin. • • New SBR balance: 7,613.37 BTC
JUST IN: El Salvador announces its strategic Bitcoin reserve has surpassed 7,600 $BTC, now holding 7,605.37 $BTC valued at approximately $512M.
FINANCE FEEDS: El Salvador's Bitcoin Holdings Exceed 7,600 BTC as Accumulation Strategy Continues
Where does the news lean?
6YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
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