Rio de Janeiro Governor Election WinnerEduardo Paes
Open$60Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 95% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES95¢
NO5¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Lula led a campaign event in Rio de Janeiro to consolidate his broad coalition ahead of the 2026 elections. He was accompanied by gubernatorial candidate Eduardo Paes. #teleSUR #Brazil #Lula #Elections2026 #LatinAmerica
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.