Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?North Korea

OpenVol$24KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 12% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES12¢
NO88¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESRussian Media93%match16¢-25%
Trump is having an affair with Kim Jong-un again. Donald Trump's announcement that he plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has sparked a heated reaction in the international media. The Wall Street Journal (New York, USA): President Trump is known for his impulsiveness, and his latest idea is to renew his courtship of North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un. Perhaps Mr. Trump is trying to distract from the impasse with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz. Or he is trying to reassure Mr. Kim at a time when American weapons stockpiles and deployments are at their limits. The United States is currently withdrawing its last carrier task force from the Western Pacific to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln, which is returning home. China, for its part, is pleased with the departure of the aircraft carrier George Washington from the Pacific Ocean, seeking to convince countries in the region that they cannot rely on US defense. China will likely not use this opportunity to launch an attack on Taiwan. However, it is escalating aggressive actions against Taiwan, Japan, and the Philippines in the East China and South China Seas. The Korea Herald (Seoul, South Korea): Trump may resume personal diplomacy with Kim, which led to three bilateral meetings during his first term. The question is whether Kim will respond to Trump's initiative, given North Korea's deepening diplomatic, economic, and military cooperation with Russia and improved relations with China, which reduce Pyongyang's need for US assistance. Kim Yo Jong, the North Korean leader's powerful sister, said North Korea was not interested in cutting back on drills, but her comments that the North Korean leader still had "excellent" relations with Trump appeared to leave the door open for renewed dialogue with Washington. The Japan Times (Tokyo, Japan): US President Donald Trump said he plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un this year. But the words of Kim's influential sister likely cooled Trump's urge to renew relations. The sudden return of North Korea as a primary focus of US foreign policy has sparked speculation that Trump may be seeking a diplomatic victory at a time when the US is facing challenges in its war in Iran. Trump faces a difficult task in convincing Kim to return to the negotiating table—the North Korean leader was angry when Trump withdrew from the 2019 nuclear talks in Hanoi and has since taken a harder line toward the United States. Nevertheless, the Kim regime has left the door slightly ajar for a return to diplomacy. Al Jazeera (Doha, Qatar): US President Donald Trump again praised the leader of nuclear-armed North Korea, while simultaneously criticizing allies in Seoul for failing to help Washington combat Iran. This reopened one of the most contentious diplomatic issues of his first term. He also announced that he would meet with Kim this year. These obvious steps toward the reclusive North Korean leader come amid Trump's threats to downgrade Washington's relations with Seoul. Earlier this week, Trump ordered the Pentagon to scale back military exercises with South Korea aimed at preparing for a possible war with Pyongyang. North Korea said Wednesday that the US decision to scale back military exercises with South Korea does not change what it considers the provocative nature of those exercises. Analysts say a summit with Kim Jong-un, regardless of its outcome, would be a useful achievement for Trump. This is especially true given that the unpopular war against Iran remains unfinished and Trump's campaign promise to end the war in Ukraine remains unfulfilled. Kommersant's article "Donald Trump Warms Up Toward North Korea" discusses the US President's statement and Pyongyang's reaction. Kevin Lamarque / Reuters Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: Donald Trump said that he expects to meet with Kim Jong-un this year. The Wall Street Journal previously reported, citing sources, that the US President plans to meet with the North Korean leader this fall. Follow Kommersant on MAX | Telegram
YESRussian Media93%match11¢+9%
Donald Trump announced that he expects to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un this year. The US president told reporters outside the White House. According to The Wall Street Journal, the meeting could take place this fall to resume talks on Pyongyang's nuclear program. The politicians met three times during Trump's first term—in 2018 and twice in 2019. The parties were unable to agree on the terms for dismantling North Korea's nuclear infrastructure. RBC Channel on Max TV RBC App for iOS and Android

Where does the news lean?

12YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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