Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?Benjamin Netanyahu
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump: Netanyahu will never be arrested in the United States In response to reports that Israeli officials are afraid of traveling to the United States due to the possibility of arrest, Donald Trump wrote:
Benjamin Netanyahu will never be arrested in the United States of America in any way, shape, or form. He is fighting the Islamic Republic of Iran.
President Trump says Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu will not be arrested while in the US. • • The comments come after New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani said in an interview that he may still order his arrest.
TRUMP SAYS NETANYAHU WILL NOT BE ARRESTED IN U.S. • • President Donald Trump said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not be arrested while visiting the United States. Trump praised Netanyahu’s campaign against Iran and blamed Iran’s leadership for decades of violence, arguing they—not Netanyahu—should be held accountable.
Where does the news lean?
0YES9NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
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