Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?Andy Burnham
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Donald Trump has high praise for Andy Burnham after tricky first meeting
[UPDATE] Trump praises new British PM Andy Burnham but slams UK deal on Indian Ocean islands (first reported at 2026-09-22T08:00:45Z)
Donald Trump says it’s “an honour” to be with Andy Burnham and praises his “great election win” in Makerfield. “I think he’s going to be a great prime minister… we’re with you all the way.” • • US president says PM “gets it” and that he’s a man he can do business with. • • He adds: “I think he's a natural businessperson. We have had a lot of discussions. He gets it. He understands what he has to do”.
Donald Trump says Andy Burnham is a man he can do business with • • 'I think he's a natural businessperson. We have had a lot of discussions. He gets it. He understands what he has to do'
Live: Donald Trump says he feels he can do business with Andy Burnham
Donald Trump reveals real opinion of Andy Burnham and his 'unfortunate' flaw
Where does the news lean?
1YES8NO14neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
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