Alaska Senate Election WinnerSen. Dan Sullivan
Open$135Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 35% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES35¢
NO66¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: In Alaska’s Senate primary, it’s Dan Sullivan vs. Dan Sullivan
Senator Dan Sullivan is doing a fantastic job representing the Great State of Alaska! Prior to becoming a very distinguished and Highly Respected Senator, Dan served as State Attorney General and the Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources. Dan is a GREAT man, has ALWAYS delivered for Alaska (which I won three times by BIG margins in 2016, 2020, and 2024!), and will continue doing so in the U.S. Senate. No one has done more for Alaska than “TRUMP,” including just securing 11 new Arctic Security Cutter Icebreakers, the first such ships bought in more than 40 years, and Dan Sullivan has been with us all the way. He is fighting hard to Grow our Economy, Lower Taxes, Cut Regulations, Help Secure our VERY Secure (Record Setting!) Border, Champion our Incredible Military/Veterans, Advance American Energy DOMINANCE by helping to keep the price of Gasoline, Oil, and all forms of Energy VERY LOW, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Because of the trickery in the Voting, the Crooked, Radical Left Dumocrats have put up another man named “Dan Sullivan,” and they did this to take Votes away from our Great Senator of the same name. Democrats are trying to “trick” Alaskans, and treat Alaskan Voters with contempt. On Tuesday, August 18th, Alaskans, don’t be fooled. The Senator you want to vote for is: “SULLIVAN, DAN S. — REGISTERED REPUBLICAN/INCUMBENT” “SULLIVAN, DAN S” has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election – HE WILL NOT LET YOU DOWN! President DONALD J. TRUMP
YESAxios99%match49¢-29%
Alaska Senate: Dan Sullivan raises $1.4 million in Q4
NOBloomberg99%match53¢+23%
Former Alaska Representative Mary Peltola launched a campaign Monday to challenge Republican Dan Sullivan for one of Alaska’s Senate seats, putting the race in play for Democrats in November’s midterms
NOThe Wall Street Journal99%match53¢+23%
Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola said she would challenge incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska, a move that could put the red-leaning state in play as Democrats make a long-shot bid to retake control of the Senate
Where does the news lean?
4YES3NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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