Clacton by-election: Margin of Victory (Lower Farage brackets)Count Binface
ResolvedOutcome: No$5Kas of
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Farage declares victory over Count Binface in Clacton byelection – video
Sir John Curtice says that the political world has changed since Nigel Farage triggered the Clacton by-election and he faces 'quite a substantial political challenge' trying to restore Reform's lead in the polls • • * In the immediate wake of the decision to call the by-election support for Reform did noticeably fall in the polls. The electoral world has changed since he precipitated by-election - Labour has enjoyed a Burnham bounce and the Conservatives are now just four points adrift • • * 'Yes Mr Farage has secured a victory that he will feel justifies what he has done. But it does mean that he goes back as full time leader of Reform facing quite a substantial political challenge trying to get Reform's support back up so it is back in the lead of the polls and there is clear blue water between Reform and the Conservatives' • • * The turnout was significant - 44 per cent - suggesting that voters in Clacton did not think the by-election was a 'farce' even if opposition parties did. 'If anything is surprising it is that despite it seeming obvious who was going to win so many voters turned out' • • * Count Binface's performance was 'remarkable' for a joke candidate - around a quarter of the vote
Live: At 22,239 votes, Farage received 63.34% of the byelection vote. The 9,455 ballots for parody candidate Count Binface – his nearest competitor – was 26.93%.
Clacton by election: full result by votes: • • 1) Nigel Farage - 22,239 • 2) Count Binface - 9,455 • 3) John Stevens - 492 • 4) Tony Francis - 432 • 5) Pamela Walford - 371 • 6) Laurence Fox - 347 • 7) William Clouston - 256 • 8) Nick Pelas - 202 • 9) James Ransley - 192 • 10) Stephen Ingram - 159 • 11) Kai Stephens - 132 • 12) Attieh Fard - 126 • 13) Derrick Morris - 100 • 14) Martyn Obrien - 65 • 15) Martin Davies - 60 • 16) Robin Green - 59 • 17) Rees Cowne - 50 • 18) Adham Alkhatip - 49 • 19) Amy Morris - 46 • 20) Andy Erlam - 44 • 21) Joseph 77 - 42 • 22) Nick The Incredible Flying Brick - 28 • 23) Ketankumar Pipaliya - 21 • 24) Michael O'Keeffe - 19 • 25) Howling Laud Hope - 18 • 26) Tony Cane - 17 • 27) Daniel Pocock - 16 • 28) Baron Von Thunderclap - 15 • 29) Abi Hookway - 14 • 30) Marc Wilkinson - 11 • 31) Marcus White - 10 • 32) Gerry Smith - 9 • 33) Woke Trump Carrzee - 8 • 34) Glenn Cummings - 7
BREAKING British hard-right leader Nigel Farage has won a snap UK election he triggered in Clacton, beating satirical opponent Count Binface, according to results. • • Farage, who did not attend the result announcement, received 22,239 votes, electoral officials said, while runner-up Count Binface exceeded expectations with 9,455 votes
NEW: Nigel Farage has won in Clacton - getting 22,239 votes, up from 21,225 in 2024 • • Count Binface in second with 9,455 votes • • Farage has not attended the count, citing warnings from Essex Police over an 'organised campaign to disrupt' it. He has also cancelled a speech today
— Nigel Farage won 1,014 more votes here than in 2024, albeit without mainstream competition • • — Turnout 44.37% - high for a by-election • • — I make it 62.8% of the vote for Farage and 26.7% of the vote for Count Binface
Nigel Farage has won the Clacton by-election, with 22,239 votes - up 1,000 votes on his 2024 performance. • • Count Binface got 9,455 votes - 26.7% of the vote • • (I can count only 22 of the 34 candidates present in the hall for the result…)
Live: Nigel Farage has received 22,293 votes, the officer says, while Count Binface got 9,455.
Breaking: • • Nigel Farage has won the Clacton by-election - although Count Binface secured nearly 10,000 votes • • Nigel Farage: 22,239 • • Count Binface: 9,455
Where does the news lean?
6YES5NO28neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
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