Core CPI MoM - August 20260.4%
ResolvedOutcome: No$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Here are the highlights of the US Consumer Price Index report for August: The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4% compared to July, in line with expectations. More than a third of this increase came as a result of a 3.9% jump in gasoline prices. Housing costs also rose by 0.3%, the largest increase in three months. The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, climbed 0.3%. A surge in mobile phone service prices contributed significantly to this larger-than-expected increase, while airfares, used cars, and education also pushed the index higher. On an annual basis, the CPI rose by 3.4%, in line with expectations, while the core index increased by 2.4%, also in line with the median estimate and marking its smallest rise since the cost-of-living surge began in the spring of 2021. The boom in artificial intelligence investments was reflected in a 25.4% year-on-year increase in computer software and peripherals prices, the largest increase ever recorded. Preliminary calculations indicated that the proportion of goods and services categories that saw high increases, a measure that has been highlighted... Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's focus hasn't diminished this month. Inflation data released today reinforces the case for the Fed to raise interest rates on September 16. #Arabic_Business
Bond traders are anticipating two interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve this year following the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in August, and 3.4% year-over-year. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.3% month-over-month, while the core annual rate was 2.4%. Swap contracts are pricing in a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike next week, compared to 70% previously. #Arabic_Business
LATEST: U.S. core CPI rises 0.3% MoM in August, above the 0.2% forecast, putting a Fed rate hike next week at near-certainty as the 2-year Treasury yield jumps to 4.61% and $BTC dips to $77,600.
US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises in August in line with expectations The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in August (seasonally adjusted) for the month, bringing the annual increase to 3.4%. The core CPI rose 0.3% for the month, while the core annual rate was 2.4%. #Arabic_Business
Core CPI was firmer than expected in August, rising 0.29% on the month (3.5% annualized) • • The three-month annualized rate was 2% (previous month: 1.6%). • • The six-month annualized rate rose to 2.6% from 2.4%. • • The 12-month change barely rounded down to 2.4% from 2.5%.
US CPI (M/M) Aug: 0.4% (est 0.4%; prev 0.1%) • - CPI (Y/Y): 3.4% (est 3.4%; prev 3.4%) • - Core CPI (M/M): 0.3% (est 0.2%; prev 0.2%) • - Core CPI (Y/Y): 2.4% (est 2.5%; prev 2.6%)
NONews92%match100¢
*US AUG. CORE CPI RISES 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.2%
Live: The numbers are out! U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in August and were up 3.4 percent from a year earlier. “Core” prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, were up 0.3 percent month-over-month and 2.4 percent year-over-year.
*US AUG. CORE CPI RISES 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.2%
US CPI (Aug.) • • Core • M/M: 0.3% (exp. 0.2%, prev. 0.2%) • Y/Y: 2.4% (exp. 2.4%, prev. 2.5%) • • Headline • M/M: 0.4% (exp. 0.4%, prev. 0.1%) • Y/Y: 3.4% (exp. 3.4%, prev. 3.4%)
CPI 0.4% MoM, Exp. 0.4% • CPI Core 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.2% • • CPI 3.4% YoY, Exp. 3.4% • CPI Core 2.4% YoY, Exp. 2.4%
NOdbnews92%match100¢
*US AUG. CORE CPI RISES 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.2%
Where does the news lean?
0YES13NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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