Netanyahu arrestedSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$23KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOmiddleeasteye.net92%match100¢
No, Netanyahu wasn’t arrested during his UN visit, but those protesting against him were
NOnytimes.com92%match99¢+1%
Live: The Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, arrived in New York without incident. Mayor Zohran Mamdani had called on the federal government to execute an arrest warrant on Mr. Netanyahu from the International Criminal Court, which has accused him of war crimes and crimes against humanity for his government’s actions in Gaza. Israel has denied the charges, and the Trump administration has dismissed the court as illegitimate.

Where does the news lean?

1YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed; (ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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