Bitcoin best month in 2026?August
Open$32Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 83% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES83¢
NO17¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
"This resilience is remarkable": with a monthly increase of 24%, the price of Bitcoin has just recorded its strongest performance in an August since 2017.
Bitcoin ETFs notch best month of 2026 as BTC gains 25% in August
Spot bitcoin ETFs post best month of inflows since July of last year… • • +$3.5bil • • Bitcoin price ↑ 25% in August, the best month since November 2024. • • You can thank Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. • • via @isabelletanlee
Bitcoin Just Had Its Best Month Since 2024. A Crucial Jobs Report Could Put That Rally To The Test.. • Bitcoin is holding near $78,000 after gaining about 24% in August. Washington is preparing for another consequential vote on crypto regulation later this month.
Bitcoin defies oil price spike and rising Fed hike bets after best August since 2017
Weekly market recap: • • 1) Flat week across BTC and equities. BTC open $77.7K, high $81.4K on Thursday, close $77.6K. Flat on the week. ETH lost 1.89% to $2.4K and total market cap held $2.6T. S&P and the Nasdaq barely moved. • • 2) Hike odds reversed. Polymarket went from 30% hike / 70% hold to 52% / 48% on Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote. FedWatch is more decisive at 62.6% / 37.4%. • • 3) The volatility breakout lasted a week. BVIV fell from 46.5 to 38.9, back to the 7th percentile of the past 12 months, through a hawkish Fed surprise. • • 4) ETFs saw $1.9B of inflows. BTC $924.5M, ETH $815.7M, SOL $142.7M, HYPE $56.8M. August is BTC's best month since October 2025 and its best August on record.
Where does the news lean?
10YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.
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See all outcomes for Bitcoin best month in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.