Bitcoin best month in 2026?
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Market pricing makes August the favorite at 83% across 12 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
23 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Is the Red September Curse Over? Bitcoin Set for Best September on Record
Bitcoin is on track to shatter a major decade-long streak as September gains surge. • Bitcoin is on track for a third straight monthly gain, but higher yields, oil prices and two major November events could test its Q4 momentum.
CROWDFUNDINSIDER: Bitcoin's September 2026 Rally Puts 3-Month Positive BTC Price Streak within Reach : Analysis
Bitcoin weathers September storm as rate hikes and Clarity act setback test bulls. • Bitcoin is down just 1.5% in its historically weakest month and remains on track for its first quarterly gain in a year, despite rising rates, surging oil and a stronger dollar.
Fidelity: Despite Bitcoin’s Strong August Rally, It Remains Unclear Whether the Bear Market Has Ended • • Fidelity said that despite strong gains in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market in August, it remains unclear whether the bear market has ended. Some investors are watching for a potential bottom in November 2026 based on the four-year cycle theory. The report said that an upward move following low volatility, higher volatility, crypto regulation, monetary policy, institutional adoption, and growing on-chain activity could all serve as catalysts for the market. The U.S. CLARITY Act remains under consideration in the Senate, while the SEC’s proposed Regulation Crypto Assets is still in the public-comment period.
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Enters ‘Rektember’ After Best August Since 2017
"This resilience is remarkable": with a monthly increase of 24%, the price of Bitcoin has just recorded its strongest performance in an August since 2017.
Bitcoin ETFs notch best month of 2026 as BTC gains 25% in August
Spot bitcoin ETFs post best month of inflows since July of last year… • • +$3.5bil • • Bitcoin price ↑ 25% in August, the best month since November 2024. • • You can thank Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. • • via @isabelletanlee
Bitcoin Just Had Its Best Month Since 2024. A Crucial Jobs Report Could Put That Rally To The Test.. • Bitcoin is holding near $78,000 after gaining about 24% in August. Washington is preparing for another consequential vote on crypto regulation later this month.
Bitcoin enters ‘Rektember’ as rate-hike risks threaten its August rally. • September has historically been a poor month for risk assets in general, and bitcoin, in particular.
Bitcoin enters ‘Rektember’ as rate-hike risks threaten its August rally. • September has historically been a poor month for risk assets in general, and bitcoin, in particular.
Bitcoin defies oil price spike and rising Fed hike bets after best August since 2017
Weekly market recap: • • 1) Flat week across BTC and equities. BTC open $77.7K, high $81.4K on Thursday, close $77.6K. Flat on the week. ETH lost 1.89% to $2.4K and total market cap held $2.6T. S&P and the Nasdaq barely moved. • • 2) Hike odds reversed. Polymarket went from 30% hike / 70% hold to 52% / 48% on Warsh's Jackson Hole keynote. FedWatch is more decisive at 62.6% / 37.4%. • • 3) The volatility breakout lasted a week. BVIV fell from 46.5 to 38.9, back to the 7th percentile of the past 12 months, through a hawkish Fed surprise. • • 4) ETFs saw $1.9B of inflows. BTC $924.5M, ETH $815.7M, SOL $142.7M, HYPE $56.8M. August is BTC's best month since October 2025 and its best August on record.
MARKETS: Bitcoin is on track to finish August up more than 25%, its best monthly performance since November 2024.
Bitcoin holds July gain, eye as 'forced-selling fuel was already spent,' analysts say. • The largest crypto shrugged off a barrage of bad news this month, but traders remain cautious as rate hike fears and jobs data loom.
DATA: Bitcoin is expected to finish July up about 7%, in line with the month's historical average gain of 7.6%.
Bitcoin $60,000 put leads the pack as mood swings bearish for August
Bitcoin, ether fall, equities rally with broader crypto market on track for best month in a year. • BTC fell as July drew to a close, even as stocks gained in Asia and U.S. index futures advanced. The CoinDesk 20 index is set to post its biggest gain since July 2025.
K33 Research: Bitcoin’s July Average Spot Trading Volume Could Hit Its Lowest Since November 2023 • • K33 Research said Bitcoin market activity remained subdued in July, with average daily spot trading volume at about $2.2 billion, potentially marking the lowest monthly average since November 2023. BTC fell around 3% over the past week and remained range-bound between $60k and $66k, while CME Bitcoin futures open interest stayed near multi-year lows and perpetual futures open interest stood at roughly 300k BTC.
'Sleepy July': K33 says bitcoin spot volume on track for weakest month since late 2023
Bitcoin price 9th of October: $121,745 Now: $66,830
Bitcoin price 9th of October: $121,745 Now: $66,830
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to the calendar month in 2026 during which Bitcoin has the highest percentage change.
The “Change” value shown for each monthly candle will be used. A monthly candle is considered finalized once the following month’s candle is published.
The resolution source is Binance, using the BTC/USDT trading pair:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
If two or more months are tied for the highest percentage change, this market will resolve to the earliest month chronologically.
Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
If it becomes impossible for a given month to have the highest percentage change in 2026, that outcome may resolve to “No” immediately.