July Inflation US - Annual3.8%
ResolvedOutcome: No$36Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
U.S. CPI DAY: WALL STREET VS. THE MARKET • • Wall Street headline CPI forecasts: • • Kalshi: 3.30% • Citi: 3.30% • Goldman Sachs: 3.35% • UBS: 3.39% • BofA: 3.40% • SocGen: 3.40% • Barclays: 3.40% • Morgan Stanley: 3.40% • Wells Fargo: 3.40% • • A print above or below this narrow range could trigger a sharp market reaction. •
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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