July Inflation US - Annual3.3%
ResolvedOutcome: No$112Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in July, as market expectations for a Fed rate hike in September cooled.
#Breaking | US inflation slows in July to 3.4 percent year-on-year, and energy prices rise 14.7 percent driven by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Central Bureau of Labor Statistics)
US consumer price index for July rose 3.4% year-on-year, in line with market expectations.
US consumer price index for July rose 3.4% year-on-year, in line with market expectations.
US July Unadjusted CPI at 3.4% YoY, in Line With Expectations • • The annual inflation rate in the US slowed for a second consecutive month to 3.4% in July 2026, from 3.5% in June, in line with market expectations and easing further from the 2023 high of 4.2% reached in May. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.1%, rebounding from a 0.4% decline in June, which marked the first monthly drop since May 2020, also as expected.
US annual inflation cooled to 3.4% in July
US inflation in July reached 3.4%, in line with expectations.
NONews93%match99¢+1%
US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in July (Reuters forecast 3.4% increase).
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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