Nebraska Senate Election WinnerIndependent
Open$27Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 30% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES30¢
NO71¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
In Nebraska, the DDHQ Forecast has Pete Ricketts as the favorite, with an 86% win probability. • • Independent Dan Osborn has a 14% win probability.
Democrat moves to drop out of Nebraska’s Senate race, clearing the path for an independent
Live: Pete Ricketts wins Nebraska GOP Senate primary — will face independent backed by Dems in November
Where does the news lean?
3YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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See all outcomes for Nebraska Senate Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.