Nebraska Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Pete Ricketts (R) the favorite at 70% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
In 2024, Nebraska independent @OsbornForNE came within 7 points of defeating a GOP senator even as Trump won by 21 pts. • • He's running again in '26. Can he prevail in a bluer year? • • “Ugh,â€� Sen. Deb Fischer said. “I think Nebraskans see through this guy.â€� • •
In Nebraska, the DDHQ Forecast has Pete Ricketts as the favorite, with an 86% win probability. • • Independent Dan Osborn has a 14% win probability.
Democrat moves to drop out of Nebraska’s Senate race, clearing the path for an independent
Democrat moves to drop out of Nebraska’s Senate race, clearing the path for an independent
Democrat Cindy Burbank has withdrawn in Nebraska, leaving the Senate race a one-on-one showdown between: • • Sen. Pete Ricketts (R)* • Dan Osborn (I) • •
Live: Pete Ricketts wins Nebraska GOP Senate primary — will face independent backed by Dems in November
The Nebraska Supreme Court ruled Monday that Democrat Cindy Burbank should be placed back on the ballot for the state’s Senate primary. • • More from @allymutnick: •
Democrats accuse Forbes, an anti-abortion activist running as a Democrat, of being a GOP plant meant to help split any potential anti-Ricketts vote. For her part, Burbank said she would give Osborn a "fair shot against Ricketts." • • Wild times in Nebraska. •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.