Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Open$449Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 19% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES19¢
NO82¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
State election 2026: Polls, minority scenario – What you need to know about the election in Saxony-Anhalt
Where does the news lean?
2YES8NO10neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).