Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Odds jumped to 28% on Sep 6, 2026
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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? On , the market’s odds jumped from 20.5¢ to 28.5¢ (+8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from NOTUS Reporter.
How did the odds move?
20.5¢
16.5¢
28.5¢
28.5¢
+8 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 22.5¢ → 14.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from money.udn.com
- 22.5¢ → 8.5¢-14 ptsafter a signal from welt.de
- 23.5¢ → 8.5¢-15 ptsafter a signal from anadoluajansi
- 23¢ → 8.5¢-14.5 ptsafter a signal from DW Reporter
- 26.5¢ → 10.5¢-16 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
- 26.5¢ → 6¢-20.5 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media
- 26.5¢ → 6.5¢-20 ptsafter a signal from spiegel.de
- 22¢ → 1.7¢-20.3 ptsafter a signal from Syria TV
- 21.5¢ → 1.6¢-19.9 ptsafter a signal from content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com
- 21.5¢ → 0.7¢-20.8 ptsafter a signal from aa_arabic
- 17.5¢ → 0.7¢-16.8 ptsafter a signal from bild.de
What moved the odds?
NeutralNOTUS Reporter96%match
Soon we'll learn if the AfD will win control of Saxony-Anhalt, a state in Eastern Germany. • • Here's why you should care: • •
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
$873K
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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.