Kansas Democratic Senate Primary WinnerAdam Hamilton
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$32Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Kansas has not sent a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in nearly 100 years, and the political environment would have to be exceptionally strong for Democrats in order for the state to even be in play this fall. But Kansas is not as conservative as some of its neighboring states. Adam Hamilton, who just won the Democratic nomination for Senate, comes from a populous part of the state that once heavily favored moderate Republicans but has swung far away from the party in the Trump era.
Live: Kansas Democrats nominate Methodist pastor Adam Hamilton for the Senate
Live: Methodist Pastor Adam Hamilton will win Democratic Senate primary in Kansas, CNN projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Adam Hamilton wins the KS US Senate Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:00 PM EDT
YESAPws98%match96¢+4%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Adam Hamilton wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Kansas
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Adam Hamilton wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Kansas
Live: Adam Hamilton wins the Democratic Senate primary in Kansas, NBC News projects.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 35,149 (45.5%) • Christy Davis (D): 8,914 (11.5%) • Noah Taylor (D): 8,388 (10.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 30,501 (48.1%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,782 (10.7%) • Christy Davis (D): 6,689 (10.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 29,118 (49.0%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,060 (10.2%) • Christy Davis (D): 5,943 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
10YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.