Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

19 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Adam Hamiltonnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: Kansas has not sent a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in nearly 100 years, and the political environment would have to be exceptionally strong for Democrats in order for the state to even be in play this fall. But Kansas is not as conservative as some of its neighboring states. Adam Hamilton, who just won the Democratic nomination for Senate, comes from a populous part of the state that once heavily favored moderate Republicans but has swung far away from the party in the Trump era.
Adam Hamiltonapnews.com97%match96¢+4%
Live: Kansas Democrats nominate Methodist pastor Adam Hamilton for the Senate
Adam Hamiltoncnn.com98%match96¢+4%
Live: Methodist Pastor Adam Hamilton will win Democratic Senate primary in Kansas, CNN projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Adam Hamilton wins the KS US Senate Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:00 PM EDT
Adam HamiltonAPws98%match96¢+4%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Adam Hamilton wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Kansas
Adam Hamiltonapnews.com98%match96¢+4%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Adam Hamilton wins Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Kansas
Adam Hamiltonnbcnews.com98%match96¢+4%
Live: Adam Hamilton wins the Democratic Senate primary in Kansas, NBC News projects.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 35,149 (45.5%) • Christy Davis (D): 8,914 (11.5%) • Noah Taylor (D): 8,388 (10.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 35,149 (45.5%) • Christy Davis (D): 8,914 (11.5%) • Noah Taylor (D): 8,388 (10.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 35,149 (45.5%) • Christy Davis (D): 8,914 (11.5%) • Noah Taylor (D): 8,388 (10.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Noah TaylorCNN Reporter97%match95¢+5%
#KSSEN Democratic primary: With 37% of the vote in, Noah Taylor is in third with 11% of the vote. • • A pop-up super PAC, The 1861 Initiative, spent over $2.2 million for Taylor.
Noah TaylorCNN Reporter97%match95¢+5%
#KSSEN Democratic primary: With 37% of the vote in, Noah Taylor is in third with 11% of the vote. • • An pop-up super PAC, The 1861 Initiative, spent over $2.2 million for Taylor.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 30,501 (48.1%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,782 (10.7%) • Christy Davis (D): 6,689 (10.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 30,501 (48.1%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,782 (10.7%) • Christy Davis (D): 6,689 (10.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 27% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 30,501 (48.1%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,782 (10.7%) • Christy Davis (D): 6,689 (10.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 29,118 (49.0%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,060 (10.2%) • Christy Davis (D): 5,943 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 29,118 (49.0%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,060 (10.2%) • Christy Davis (D): 5,943 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Kansas US Senate Democratic Primary • • Adam Hamilton (D): 29,118 (49.0%) • Noah Taylor (D): 6,060 (10.2%) • Christy Davis (D): 5,943 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Sharice DavidsAPws97%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Sharice Davids wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Kansas' 3rd Congressional District

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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