How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?58+
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The U.S. Senate has confirmed Branch as Attorney General; the process was initially stalled over the "fund" issue, but passed by a narrow margin.
U.S. Attorney General nominee likely to be confirmed by a narrow margin in the Senate.
.@BillCassidy is a yes on Todd Blanche for attorney general, a major win for Trump. • • Cassidy was the swing vote with Collins & Murkowski voting no, and McConnell out. • • Former AG Bill Barr was a key player in getting Cassidy to yes
NEWS: Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) will announce how he’s voting on Todd Blanche’s nomination to be attorney general in 10:40am speech on the Senate floor. • • With McConnell absent and Collins and Murkowski a no, it all comes down to Cassidy… • • If Cassidy is a no, Blanche fails.
No Blanche vote locked in yet • • All eyes on Sens. Murkowski & Cassidy still, who haven’t revealed how they’ll vote… AG nominee needs one of the two of them if attendance is as expected
If Sen. Gallego is out for Todd Blanche's confirmation vote, it significantly changes the math for Senate GOP leaders • • Right now, with Sen. McConnell out, they can only lose 2 R's and still confirm Blanche on the floor. Dems & Sen. Collins expected to oppose the AG nominee • • If Gallego is out too, GOP leaders can lose 3 R votes and still have VP Vance cast a tie-breaking vote. That means R's would be okay even if both final holdouts - Sens. Murkowski & Cassidy - are no's
THUNE on whether Todd Blanche can get the votes for AG: • • “We’re working on it” • • Collins is a no.. Murkowski and Cassidy haven’t said how they’ll vote & Blanche will need at least one of them
News: Sen. Susan Collins will oppose Todd Blanche as AG • • Blanche can only afford to lose 2 GOP votes. Eyes are on Murkowski and Cassidy
Where does the news lean?
2YES14NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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