How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?≤46
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Senate Republicans narrowly confirm Todd Blanche as attorney general
U.S. Attorney General nominee likely to be confirmed by a narrow margin in the Senate.
If Sen. Gallego is out for Todd Blanche's confirmation vote, it significantly changes the math for Senate GOP leaders • • Right now, with Sen. McConnell out, they can only lose 2 R's and still confirm Blanche on the floor. Dems & Sen. Collins expected to oppose the AG nominee • • If Gallego is out too, GOP leaders can lose 3 R votes and still have VP Vance cast a tie-breaking vote. That means R's would be okay even if both final holdouts - Sens. Murkowski & Cassidy - are no's
GOP ME Sen Collins to oppose Blanche nomination: • “I have carefully reviewed Todd Blanche’s qualifications to be Attorney General. This includes his record and responses to questions from Senators at the Department of Justice Appropriations hearing, his confirmation hearing, and in the weeks that followed. • • “While I believe Mr. Blanche is a capable lawyer, the Department of Justice has become increasingly political. • • “Mr. Blanche has taken several actions that have further eroded the Department’s independence, and that is the basis for my vote to oppose his confirmation: • • •“Mr. Blanche approved an order to shield the President, his sons, and the family business from IRS audits, protections unavailable to other American taxpayers. • • •“He approved the creation of a $1.8 billion anti-weaponization fund. • • •“He promised an anti-abortion organization that he would seek to prohibit the mailing of abortion medication to women nationwide. • • •“Under his leadership, the Department attempted to indict Senators Mark Kelly and Elissa Slotkin over their ill-advised, but constitutionally protected, videos encouraging resistance to unlawful orders. • • “More than 1,200 former Department of Justice employees have opposed his nomination, arguing that he has undermined the institution. • • “For these reasons, I will vote against this nomination.”
Where does the news lean?
12YES7NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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