How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?57
ResolvedOutcome: No$762as of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
.@BillCassidy is a yes on Todd Blanche for attorney general, a major win for Trump. • • Cassidy was the swing vote with Collins & Murkowski voting no, and McConnell out. • • Former AG Bill Barr was a key player in getting Cassidy to yes
NEWS: Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) will announce how he’s voting on Todd Blanche’s nomination to be attorney general in 10:40am speech on the Senate floor. • • With McConnell absent and Collins and Murkowski a no, it all comes down to Cassidy… • • If Cassidy is a no, Blanche fails.
Big: Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) says she's voting NO on Todd Blanche's nomination to serve as attorney general. • • With McConnell absent, Republicans can only afford to lose two GOP votes and still confirm Blanche. Murkowski and Cassidy haven't said how they'll vote.
With Susan Collins a NO on Todd Blanche, his nomination as AG hangs by a thread. • Lisa Murkowski just pointedly declined to comment to me just now when asked if she’d vote for Blanche. • • Bill Cassidy earlier today wouldn’t comment to me either. • • Blanche can only afford to lose two GOP votes with McConnell out
News: Sen. Susan Collins will oppose Todd Blanche as AG • • Blanche can only afford to lose 2 GOP votes. Eyes are on Murkowski and Cassidy
Where does the news lean?
6YES15NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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