How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?56
ResolvedOutcome: No$693as of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The US Senate narrowly approves the nomination of Todd Blanche, Donald Trump's former personal lawyer, as Attorney General.
.@BillCassidy is a yes on Todd Blanche for attorney general, a major win for Trump. • • Cassidy was the swing vote with Collins & Murkowski voting no, and McConnell out. • • Former AG Bill Barr was a key player in getting Cassidy to yes
NEWS: Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) will announce how he’s voting on Todd Blanche’s nomination to be attorney general in 10:40am speech on the Senate floor. • • With McConnell absent and Collins and Murkowski a no, it all comes down to Cassidy… • • If Cassidy is a no, Blanche fails.
NEW: Another Republican senator is a NO on Todd Blanche. • • Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski says she will oppose President Trump's pick for attorney general, saying she lacks confidence Blanche can "check the worst impulses of this administration." • • She now joins Maine Sen. Susan Collins in opposing the nomination, putting Blanche's confirmation on increasingly shaky ground with the GOP's slim Senate majority.
BREAKING NEWS: Sen. Lisa Murkowski will vote NO on Todd Blanche's AG nomination, dramatically narrowing his path to confirmation • • "The country needs an Attorney General who will check the worst impulses of this administration," Murkowski said in a statement. "I hope Mr. Blanche is able to achieve that, if confirmed, but I simply do not have confidence that will be the case." • • Murkowski pointed to concerns w/ DOJ's handling of the Epstein files release, Trump's tax audit immunity deal, statements to anti-abortion groups & the "repeated targeting of individuals ranging from former administration staff to sitting U.S. Senators." She's also unconvinced the "anti-weaponization fund" is truly dead, saying after Blanche is confirmed "there is no telling what the future holds" • • All eyes now turn to Sen. Bill Cassidy, the final GOP holdout. His vote determines whether Blanche can be confirmed before August recess
USA: The Senate approves the nomination of Todd Blanche to become the new Attorney General, the equivalent of the Minister of Justice. A controversial nomination, and not only among Democrats. Explanations from Romuald Sciora, US specialist, on #BFM2
Todd Blanche's Nomination Is In Jeopardy After Sen. Collins Says She'll Vote No
BREAKING: Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) announces she will oppose Todd Blanche’s nomination for U.S. Attorney General, arguing that DOJ has become “increasingly political” and he has taken actions to “erode DOJ’s independence.” She lists the following examples 🏻 • • Assuming all Democrats vote no, Republicans can only have one more no vote or Blanche’s nomination will fail.
BREAKING: Rep. Susan Collins (R-ME) announces she will oppose Todd Blanche’s nomination for U.S. Attorney General, arguing that DOJ has become “increasingly political” and he has taken actions to “erode DOJ’s independence.” She lists the following examples 🏻 • • Assuming all Democrats vote no, Republicans can only have one more no vote or Blanche’s nomination will fail.
Big: Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) says she's voting NO on Todd Blanche's nomination to serve as attorney general. • • With McConnell absent, Republicans can only afford to lose two GOP votes and still confirm Blanche. Murkowski and Cassidy haven't said how they'll vote.
With Susan Collins a NO on Todd Blanche, his nomination as AG hangs by a thread. • Lisa Murkowski just pointedly declined to comment to me just now when asked if she’d vote for Blanche. • • Bill Cassidy earlier today wouldn’t comment to me either. • • Blanche can only afford to lose two GOP votes with McConnell out
News: Sen. Susan Collins will oppose Todd Blanche as AG • • Blanche can only afford to lose 2 GOP votes. Eyes are on Murkowski and Cassidy
BREAKING NEWS: Sen. Susan Collins will vote NO on Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination • • "While I believe Mr. Blanche is a capable lawyer, the Department of Justice has become increasingly political," Collins says in a statement. "Mr. Blanche has taken several actions that have further eroded the Department’s independence, and that is the basis for my vote to oppose his confirmation." • • Collins points to: • -approval of Trump's audit immunity deal & anti-weaponization fund • -promise to anti-abortion group to try to prohibit the mailing of abortion medication nationwide • -attempts to indict Sens. Mark Kelly & Elissa Slotkin • -opposition from 1,200 former DOJ employees
Where does the news lean?
7YES31NO19neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
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