How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10?220+
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Urgent Lloyd's List: - Some ship owners and operators are avoiding calling at Saudi ports on the Red Sea - Insurance coverage remains available for vessels not linked to Saudi Arabia - Operations at Saudi ports such as Yanbu are operating covertly, disabling AID before leaving the area via the Suez Canal - Traffic through Bab el-Mandeb shows signs of stabilizing despite the naval blockade on Saudi shipping - 223 transits of vessels with AID operational were recorded in Bab el-Mandeb between August 10 and 16
Lloyd's List: Traffic through Bab el-Mandeb shows signs of stabilization despite the naval blockade on Saudi shipping 223 transits recorded for vessels with AID in operation in Bab el-Mandeb between 10 and 16 August
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 10, 2026, through August 16, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
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See all outcomes for How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.