US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

OpenVol$34KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES16¢
NO84¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOIran Semi-Official SNN93%match73¢+15%
Compromise with Tel Aviv; Trump's condition for Riyadh to go nuclear Reuters, citing an American official: Donald Trump has referred a proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on nuclear energy to Congress; an agreement that will only be implemented if Riyadh normalizes relations with Tel Aviv. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
YEScnn.com95%match27¢-41%
Trump admin sends Saudi nuclear deal that includes enrichment pathway to Congress
YESvedomosti.ru93%match27¢-41%
Reuters: Trump introduces nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress
YESThe Hill Reporter96%match27¢-41%
Trump admin sent over the proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress this week, an administration official told me @thehill • • Trump's position is unchanged - the deal will only move forward if Saudi Arabia joins the Abraham Accords • <br... Trump admin sent over the proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress this week, an administration official told me @thehill • • Trump's position is unchanged - the deal will only move forward if Saudi Arabia joins the Abraham Accords • • Confirming @WSJ
YESAl Arabiya Reporter95%match26¢-38%
President Trump sent agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress, per administration official. “This Department of Energy-led document was transmitted to the Hill consistent with the Atomic Energy Act,” official says.
YESnytimes.com92%match28¢-43%
Trump Live Updates: Congress to Review Saudi Nuclear Deal
YESArgus Reporter97%match27¢-41%
UPDATE: A month after President @realDonaldTrump approved the proposed 30-year US-#SaudiArabia civilian nuclear agreement, the pact has now reportedly been submitted to Congress, triggering a mandatory 90-day review, although Trump administration officials say it remains conditional on Riyadh joining the Abraham Accords. • • The deal would open the door for US civilian nuclear technology exports to the Kingdom and calls for Saudi Arabia to build AP1000 reactors, potentially worth tens of billions of dollars. • • President Trump has also said the agreement would not allow Saudi uranium enrichment, although regional sources initially suggested otherwise, as per @ArgusMedia’s understanding. #oott • •
NOalarabytv93%match70¢+20%
Reuters, citing a US official: Trump still believes the nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia will only go ahead if it joins the Abraham Accords.
YESIran State News Agency94%match31¢-48%
#IRNA_World Trump sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress for approval Reuters wrote that US President Donald Trump sent the 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review and approval, while Reuters reported that the condition for Riyadh to recognize the Zionist regime remains in place. @IRNA_1313
YEShandelsblatt.com93%match25¢-36%
USA: Trump presents nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress
YEScnbc97%match25¢-36%
President Donald Trump submitted a proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress on Monday, starting a mandatory review period for a pact that would open the kingdom to U.S. nuclear technology. • • Congress now has 90 days of continuous session to review the agreement, which would go into effect absent objection. • • Find out what the agreement would enable:
YESirna_131395%match25¢-36%
Trump sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress for approval US President Donald #Trump sent a 30-year nuclear deal with #Saudi Arabia to Congress for approval, while Reuters reported that the condition for #Riyadh to recognize the Zionist regime remains in place.
YESIran State News Agency95%match25¢-36%
Trump sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress for approval US President Donald Trump sent the 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review and approval, while Reuters reported that the condition for Riyadh to recognize the Zionist regime remains in place. #IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
YESyna.co.kr94%match25¢-36%
Trump Sends Saudi Nuclear Agreement Proposal to Congress
NOKan Reporter97%match75¢+12%
President Trump has submitted a civil nuclear energy agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review, and the president is adamant that the agreement will only move forward if the kingdom joins the Abraham Accords, a US administration official told Reuters.
YESspiegel.de93%match25¢-36%
Donald Trump presents plans for a nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia to the US Congress
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp93%match25¢-36%
The Trump administration has notified Congress of its nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia; it will now undergo review.
YESabcnews.com94%match25¢-36%
Trump admin sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress, says Abraham Accords still key
YESdj94%match18¢-11%
*Trump Sends Saudi Arabia Nuclear Agreement to Congress -- WSJ
NOIran's judiciary-run Mizan93%match73¢+15%
Trump-style breach of promise; Saudi Arabia nuclear deal collapses in one day The US nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia collapsed as quickly as it was announced. On Thursday morning, Donald Trump announced in a post on social media that the deal was conditional on a new condition: Saudi Arabia must join the "Abraham Pact." A source familiar with the matter told CNN that the US president was already angry about the unveiling of the deal; Because Wright (Energy Secretary) did not inform Trump before the official announcement. Informed sources told CNN that the wave of criticism from experts and conservative media intensified Trump's anger. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏ [in reply to: Trump: Nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia is subject to compromise with Israel Donald Trump announced that the condition for the US "civilian nuclear deal" with Saudi Arabia is compromise with the Zionist regime and joining the "Abraham Accords". Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏]
NOnews.tv-asahi.co.jp94%match73¢+15%
US-Saudi Arabia nuclear agreement: Trump says "normalization of diplomatic relations with Israel is a condition."
NOmainichi.jp92%match73¢+15%
Trump says nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia is "conditional on normalization of diplomatic relations."

Where does the news lean?

53YES31NO14neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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