US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
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Senate vote on Trump-Saudi nuclear deal postponed US senators announced that the vote on the Donald Trump administration's civilian nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia will be held after the midterm elections and no later than December 13. This vote will allow Congress to examine the implications of the transfer of US nuclear technologies to Saudi Arabia and announce its official position. @iribnews
Senate vote on Trump-Saudi nuclear deal postponed US senators announced that the vote on the Donald Trump administration's civilian nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia will be held after the midterm elections and no later than December 13. This decision was made following concerns expressed by some representatives - especially Democrats - about the risks of nuclear weapons proliferation and the possibility of an arms race in the Middle East. This vote allows Congress to examine the consequences of the transfer of US nuclear technologies to Saudi Arabia and announce its official position. Get the latest news:
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US Senators Expect a Vote Before December 13 on Trump Administration’s Pact to Share Nuclear Power Technology with Saudi Arabia
American senators, including both Democrats and Republicans, have called on the Donald Trump administration to disclose details of the nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia, signed on July 22. They fear that the agreement does not explicitly prohibit Riyadh from enriching uranium or reprocessing spent nuclear fuel, which would pave the way for the acquisition of materials for nuclear weapons. The terms agreed upon by the White House with Saudi Arabia are set out in two secret "cover letters," the contents of which are unknown even to senators on relevant committees. However, even if the senators' demands are heard, the deal itself is unlikely to enter into force before 2027. Evan Vucci / AP Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
2- Trump letter to the Senate on the nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia: (2/2) • • The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia strongly supports the nonproliferation of weapons of mass destruction and has consistently reiterated its commitment to nonproliferation. The United States and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have fostered a close relationship on strategic trade and interdiction issues. It is a party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and has concluded a Comprehensive Safeguards Agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency. A more detailed discussion of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s domestic civil nuclear activities and its nuclear nonproliferation policies and practices is provided in the NPAS and its classified annex. • • I have considered the views and recommendations of the interested departments and agencies in reviewing the Agreement and, in accordance with subsection 123 b. of the Act, have determined that its performance will promote, and will not constitute an unreasonable risk to, the common defense and security. Accordingly, I have approved the Agreement and authorized its execution and urge that the Congress give it favorable consideration. • • This transmission shall constitute a submittal for purposes of both subsections 123 b. and 123 d. of the Act. My Administration is prepared to immediately begin the consultations with the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the House Foreign Affairs Committee as provided in subsection 123 b. Upon completion of the 30 days of continuous session review provided for in subsection 123 b., the 60 days of continuous session review provided for in subsection 123 d. shall commence.
1 - Trump notification letter to the Senate regarding the US Saudi nuclear deal : • • Dear Mr. President: • • I am pleased to transmit to the Congress, pursuant to subsections 123 b. and 123 d. of the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended (42 U.S.C. 2153(b), (d)) (the “Act), the text of an Agreement for Cooperation Between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Concerning Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy (the “Agreement), which was concluded with two accompanying side letters and which calls for the associated Agreement Between the Government of the United States of America and the Government of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia for the Application of Additional Safeguards and Verification Measures to the United States-Saudi Arabia Agreement for Cooperation Concerning Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy. • • I am also pleased to transmit my written approval, authorization, and determination concerning the Agreement, and an unclassified Nuclear Proliferation Assessment Statement (NPAS) concerning the Agreement. In accordance with section 123 of the Act, a classified annex to the NPAS, prepared by the Secretary of State, in consultation with the Director of National Intelligence, summarizing relevant classified information, will be submitted to the Congress separately. The joint memorandum submitted to me by the Secretaries of State and Energy, as well as a letter from the Chairman of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission stating the views of the Commission, are also enclosed. • • An addendum to the NPAS containing a comprehensive analysis of the export control system of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia with respect to nuclear-related matters, including interactions with countries of proliferation concern and the actual or suspected nuclear, dual-use, or missile-related transfers to such countries, pursuant to section 102A(w) of the National Security Act of 1947 (50 U.S.C. 3024(w)), is being submitted separately by the Director of National Intelligence. • • The Agreement has been negotiated in accordance with the Act and other applicable law. In my judgment, it meets all applicable statutory requirements and will advance the nonproliferation and other foreign policy interests of the United States of America. • • The Agreement contains all of the provisions required by subsection 123 a. of the Act. It provides a comprehensive framework for peaceful nuclear cooperation with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia based on a mutual commitment to nuclear nonproliferation. It would permit the transfer of material, equipment (including reactors), components, and information for peaceful nuclear purposes. It would permit the transfer of sensitive nuclear technology to support a joint enrichment and conversion study or upon written agreement of the parties but would not permit the transfer of restricted data. Any special fissionable material transferred could only be in the form of low enriched uranium, with the exception of small quantities of special fissionable material for use as samples, standards, detectors, or targets or for such other purposes as the parties may agree. • • The Agreement has a term of 30 years, although it can be terminated by either party with at least 1 year’s advance written notice to the other party. In the event of termination or expiration of the Agreement, key nonproliferation conditions and controls will continue in effect as long as any material, equipment, or components subject to the Agreement remain in the territory of the party concerned or under its jurisdiction or control anywhere, or until such time as the parties agree that such material, equipment, or components are no longer usable for any nuclear activity relevant from the point of view of safeguards……..
President Trump submitted to Congress last night the nuclear cooperation agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia: "The agreement meets all legal requirements, promotes non-proliferation and US political interests, and allows the transfer of materials, equipment (including reactors), components, and information for peaceful nuclear purposes."
Trump’s letter to Congress on US-Saudi nuclear deal: “In my judgment, it meets all applicable statutory requirements and will advance the nonproliferation and other foreign policy interests of the United States of America”
More details from @mgordonwsj & @laurnorman in the Wall Street Journal on the US Saudi Nuclear deal: • • The text of the accord was shared with lawmakers last week along with a raft of related documents. It outlines a road map for how uranium might be enriched in the kingdom’s territory after further consultations, including at a level of nearly 20%. • • U.S. companies and their foreign supplies would have a favored place under the agreement with Saudi Arabia and would run a potential enrichment facility, squeezing out the Russians and the Chinese, U.S. officials say. • • According to the deal, U.S. and Saudi officials will carry out a “Joint Enrichment and Conversion Study” within two years to study “the economic viability” of enriching uranium and arrangements to guard against proliferation risks. • • During that study period, reactors could be sold, but enrichment would be prohibited. • • If U.S. and Saudi officials agree on the need for enrichment. American companies and their foreign suppliers would construct a facility that would enrich uranium to a level of 5%. Further study by the two sides could lead to uranium enrichment that would approach 20% • • Lawmakers who have poured over the text say there is no opportunity for Congress to challenge a decision to enrich if it is endorsed by the study. • • Blocking the agreement will be an uphill battle for Congressional critics. The Senate and House would need to adopt a joint resolution of disapproval by a two-thirds veto proof majority to stop it. Barring such a step, the accord would legally take effect after 90 legislative days.
Trump admin sends Saudi nuclear deal that includes enrichment pathway to Congress
Reuters: Trump introduces nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress
Trump admin sent over the proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress this week, an administration official told me @thehill • • Trump's position is unchanged - the deal will only move forward if Saudi Arabia joins the Abraham Accords • <br... Trump admin sent over the proposed agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress this week, an administration official told me @thehill • • Trump's position is unchanged - the deal will only move forward if Saudi Arabia joins the Abraham Accords • • Confirming @WSJ
President Trump sent agreement with Saudi Arabia on civil nuclear energy to Congress, per administration official. “This Department of Energy-led document was transmitted to the Hill consistent with the Atomic Energy Act,” official says.
UPDATE: A month after President @realDonaldTrump approved the proposed 30-year US-#SaudiArabia civilian nuclear agreement, the pact has now reportedly been submitted to Congress, triggering a mandatory 90-day review, although Trump administration officials say it remains conditional on Riyadh joining the Abraham Accords. • • The deal would open the door for US civilian nuclear technology exports to the Kingdom and calls for Saudi Arabia to build AP1000 reactors, potentially worth tens of billions of dollars. • • President Trump has also said the agreement would not allow Saudi uranium enrichment, although regional sources initially suggested otherwise, as per @ArgusMedia’s understanding. #oott • •
Reuters, citing a US official: Trump still believes the nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia will only go ahead if it joins the Abraham Accords.
#IRNA_World
Trump sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress for approval Reuters wrote that US President Donald Trump sent the 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia to Congress for review and approval, while Reuters reported that the condition for Riyadh to recognize the Zionist regime remains in place. @IRNA_1313
USA: Trump presents nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia to Congress
Trump admin sends Saudi nuclear deal to Congress, says Abraham Accords still key
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*Trump Sends Saudi Arabia Nuclear Agreement to Congress -- WSJ
Trump-style breach of promise; Saudi Arabia nuclear deal collapses in one day The US nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia collapsed as quickly as it was announced. On Thursday morning, Donald Trump announced in a post on social media that the deal was conditional on a new condition: Saudi Arabia must join the "Abraham Pact." A source familiar with the matter told CNN that the US president was already angry about the unveiling of the deal; Because Wright (Energy Secretary) did not inform Trump before the official announcement. Informed sources told CNN that the wave of criticism from experts and conservative media intensified Trump's anger. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus [in reply to: Trump: Nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia is subject to compromise with Israel Donald Trump announced that the condition for the US "civilian nuclear deal" with Saudi Arabia is compromise with the Zionist regime and joining the "Abraham Accords". Mizan on social networks @mizanplus]
Trump says nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia is "conditional on normalization of diplomatic relations."
How Trump upended the Saudi nuclear deal less than 24 hours after its signing
Where does the news lean?
65YES49NO22neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the bilateral U.S.–Saudi agreement for peaceful nuclear cooperation under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act enters into force and becomes legally operative between the two governments between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.