US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Open$27Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 14% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES14¢
NO87¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.