US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Open$29Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The United States has approved construction of the country's first commercial small modular reactor. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission released a statement to this effect. The reactor will be built in eastern Tennessee by the Tennessee Valley Authority with the commission's approval. It is a 300-megawatt nuclear reactor designed by GE Vernova Hitachi. Small modular reactors have approximately one-third the capacity of traditional nuclear plants. According to TVA, the technology is designed using prefabricated components, passive safety features, and lower land and water costs. More IZ RU news in MAX
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.