Ukraine peace referendum scheduledDecember 31

OpenVol$36KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES6¢
NO94¢

24has of

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Ukraine peace referendum scheduled — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now