Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Open$1.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Ukrainian Ambassador to London: Ukraine Will Never Join NATO Valery Zaluzhny, former commander of the Ukrainian army and current ambassador to the UK, announced that Ukraine has no chance of joining NATO under the current conditions. He said at a meeting of Ukrainian ambassadors that the country's armed forces are still far from NATO military standards and added: "Unfortunately, we will never join NATO." Zaluzhny also emphasized that NATO's structure and doctrine are incompatible with the current conditions of the Ukrainian army.
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Ukrainian Ambassador to London: Ukraine Will Never Join NATO Valery Zaluzhny, former commander of the Ukrainian army and current ambassador to the UK, announced that Ukraine has no chance of joining NATO under the current circumstances. He said at a meeting of Ukrainian ambassadors that the country's armed forces are still far from NATO military standards and added: "Unfortunately, we will never join NATO." Zaluzhny also emphasized that NATO's structure and doctrine are incompatible with the current conditions of the Ukrainian army. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Ukraine will not join NATO — former commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and ambassador to the United Kingdom Valeriy Zaluzhny said that for 12 years he heard "fairy tales" about the country's future accession to the alliance, but this will not happen. "I know NATO very well. For about 12 years, I personally worked to ensure that we mastered NATO standards, and every year I listened to fairy tales about how we were about to join NATO. Unfortunately, we will never join it," Zaluzhny said during a discussion on Euro-Atlantic integration at a general meeting of ambassadors in Kyiv. He also stated that NATO itself would need about 12 years to achieve at least half of Russia's military capabilities. At the same time, Zaluzhny noted that Ukraine needs the technical capabilities that the bloc possesses — in particular, anti-missile systems, space reconnaissance, and high-precision weapons.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.