Trump meets with PutinOctober 31
Open$147as of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
TRUMP: I have just concluded a highly successful meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. In this meeting, it was agreed that Russia will immediately supply over 300,000 tons of diesel fuel to the American and global market, a further 500,000 tons during November, and then another 1,000,000 tons immediately thereafter. Furthermore, depending on the status of diesel refineries, Russia will deliver 3,000,000 tons of diesel fuel in a short period of time.
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO16neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 60% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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