Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
ResolvedOutcome: No$68Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Politico: Trump has avoided military intervention in Saudi Arabia's war with Yemen Politico reported that US President Donald Trump has so far tried to avoid direct military intervention in the conflict and war between Saudi Arabia and the Ansarullah movement in Yemen. According to the publication, Donald Trump continues to insist on maintaining the ceasefire and not engaging directly with the Ansarullah movement in Yemen, despite Saudi Arabia's repeated requests and demands for more military support.
Politico: Trump has avoided military intervention in Saudi Arabia's war with Yemen Politico reported that US President Donald Trump has so far tried to avoid direct military intervention in the conflict and war between Saudi Arabia and the Yemeni Ansarullah movement. According to the publication, despite Saudi Arabia's repeated requests and demands for more military support, Donald Trump continues to insist on maintaining the ceasefire and not engaging directly with the Yemeni Ansarullah movement. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Axios, citing US officials: Over the weekend, Trump considered launching attacks on the Houthis in Yemen but backed down and decided to hold off and avoid getting involved on a new front. [in reply to: The New York Times, citing Trump administration officials: Trump decided not to order airstrikes on Yemen at this time, after briefly asking the Pentagon to prepare for strikes following a personal appeal from Mohammed bin Salman on Thursday. Most of Trump's inner circle opposed opening another front in the war.]
The New York Times, citing Trump administration officials: Trump has decided against ordering airstrikes in Yemen at this time, after briefly asking the Pentagon to prepare for strikes following a personal appeal from Mohammed bin Salman on Thursday. Most of Trump's inner circle opposed opening another front in the war.
The New York Times, citing Trump administration officials: Trump has decided against ordering airstrikes in Yemen at this time, after briefly asking the Pentagon to prepare for strikes following a personal appeal from Mohammed bin Salman. Most of Trump's inner circle opposed opening another front in the war.
Where does the news lean?
1YES7NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.