Tim Walz in jailDecember 31, 2026
Open$18Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESBloomberg98%match7¢-29%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said he won’t see re-election after a scandal involving alleged fraud in state programs
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Tim Walz in jail — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.