Tim Walz in jail

OpenOutcomes2as of

Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 5% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

March 31, 2026Polymarket99%match2¢-100%
JUST IN: Tim Walz projected to be criminally charged this year. 56% chance.
March 31, 2026Polymarket99%match2¢-100%
BREAKING: Tim Walz has been subpoenaed by the DOJ regarding ongoing criminal investigation.
December 31, 2026Bloomberg98%match7¢-29%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said he won’t see re-election after a scandal involving alleged fraud in state programs
March 31, 2026Bloomberg98%match2¢-100%
Minnesota Governor Tim Walz said he won’t see re-election after a scandal involving alleged fraud in state programs

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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