Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
Open$610Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Live: Three killed in latest Russian strikes on Ukraine
Live: Ukraine fails to shoot down Russian ballistic missiles, as Zelensky pleads for Patriot interceptors
The Kremlin: Russia can afford to continue the operation in Ukraine
NOCGTN America98%match73¢+29%
RUSSIAN ATTACK DAMAGED TOTAL OF THREE TURKISH-OWNED VESSELS IN ODESA REGION, UKRAINIAN NAVY SPOKESPERSON SAYS
NOCGTN Europe98%match73¢+29%
RUSSIAN ATTACK DAMAGED TOTAL OF THREE TURKISH-OWNED VESSELS IN ODESA REGION, UKRAINIAN NAVY SPOKESPERSON SAYS
NOCGTN Europe98%match73¢+29%
A ceasefire in Ukraine would be another deception and "brainwashing", "we need peace", Peskov stated.
NOBBC News (World)98%match75¢+25%
Russia hits back at Europe's big plan to loan Moscow's frozen cash to Ukraine
YESThe Wall Street Journal98%match24¢-75%
Ukraine and its European allies sent President Trump a response to his team’s earlier peace plan in an effort to accelerate cease-fire talks with Russia, but big gaps remain
YESBloomberg98%match24¢-75%
Slovenia’s foreign minister commended the Trump administration for working to broker a deal between Russia and Ukraine but said that the continent’s leaders and Ukraine should get a better seat at the ceasefire negotiations
NOCGTN Europe98%match77¢+22%
The territories returned from Ukraine are important; these lands have always been part of Russia- Putin
YESCGTN America98%match23¢-74%
ZELENSKYY SAYS UKRAINE IS COMMITTED TO REAL PEACE
NOAl Jazeera English99%match81¢+16%
Ukraine peace talks stall as Russia unleashes huge waves of attacks
NOVisegrád 2498%match82¢+15%
BREAKING: Russia fires several hypersonic Kinzhal missiles at Ukraine
NOAl Jazeera English99%match82¢+15%
Russia increasingly belligerent as truce talks flounder, Ukraine war rages
NOCNBC97%match82¢+15%
Oil prices hold steady due to stalled Ukraine peace talks and supply outlook
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match83¢+13%
RUSSIA WILL CONTINUE ITS ACTIONS IN UKRAINE IF KYIV REFUSES TO SETTLE THE CONFLICT - KREMLIN
NOCGTN Europe98%match83¢+13%
RUSSIA WILL CONTINUE ITS ACTIONS IN UKRAINE IF KYIV REFUSES TO SETTLE THE CONFLICT - KREMLIN
Where does the news lean?
20YES16NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf