OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.6T
Open$50Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 41% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES41¢
NO59¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOLeading Report98%match87¢-32%
BREAKING: OpenAI could lose about $14 billion in 2026, according to projections.
NOBloomberg98%match87¢-32%
Market pros increasingly think the punishment of software stocks over the past few weeks went too far, creating new bargains in shares that were beaten down in an indiscriminate selloff.
NOThe Economist98%match88¢-33%
Four of OpenAI’s six big deal announcements this year were followed by a total combined net gain of $1.7trn among the 49 big companies in Bloomberg’s broad AI index plus Intel, Samsung and SoftBank. However, the gains for most concealed losses for some
NOCNBC98%match86¢-31%
Sam Altman touts ChatGPT's reaccelerating growth to employees as OpenAI closes in on $100 billion funding
YESCNBC99%match13¢+215%
OpenAI launches new enterprise platform in bid to win more business customers
Where does the news lean?
2YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
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